Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.097713 0.105543 0.113874 0.123428 0.134116 0.145747 0.159415
2024-11-03 0.088424 0.099872 0.112836 0.128729 0.147861 0.170375 0.199209
2024-11-10 0.083327 0.097241 0.113743 0.135037 0.162205 0.196301 0.243317
2024-11-17 0.077087 0.092140 0.110618 0.135407 0.168499 0.212238 0.276377
2024-11-24 0.071173 0.086681 0.106237 0.133308 0.170817 0.222595 0.302681
2024-12-01 0.066002 0.081634 0.101796 0.130450 0.171438 0.230218 0.325591
2024-12-08 0.061134 0.076571 0.096852 0.126314 0.169608 0.233757 0.342311
2024-12-15 0.058105 0.073712 0.094606 0.125652 0.172575 0.244561 0.372075
2024-12-22 0.055024 0.070562 0.091699 0.123723 0.173325 0.251801 0.396689
2024-12-29 0.053226 0.069051 0.090951 0.124841 0.178769 0.267083 0.438048
2025-01-05 0.050346 0.065851 0.087573 0.121699 0.177076 0.270092 0.456687
2025-01-12 0.047677 0.062813 0.084250 0.118388 0.174774 0.271706 0.472709
2025-01-19 0.045058 0.059851 0.081062 0.115368 0.173201 0.275354 0.495707
2025-01-26 0.044622 0.060054 0.082623 0.120060 0.185327 0.305972 0.584500
2025-02-02 0.044434 0.060596 0.084713 0.125767 0.199900 0.343756 0.701832
2025-02-09 0.043008 0.059186 0.083666 0.126099 0.204658 0.362566 0.778400
2025-02-16 0.041205 0.057106 0.081429 0.124195 0.204954 0.371958 0.832737
2025-02-23 0.039393 0.054926 0.078908 0.121600 0.203627 0.377578 0.878233
2025-03-02 0.037469 0.052490 0.075851 0.117842 0.199636 0.376619 0.903838
2025-03-09 0.036307 0.051199 0.074600 0.117241 0.201941 0.390618 0.981947
2025-03-16 0.034997 0.049619 0.072788 0.115486 0.201688 0.398460 1.042713
2025-03-23 0.034290 0.048968 0.072490 0.116503 0.207349 0.421854 1.169128
2025-03-30 0.032921 0.047196 0.070213 0.113643 0.204388 0.422739 1.210914